{"id":12215,"date":"2017-05-03T06:56:00","date_gmt":"2017-05-03T06:56:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.mathewingram.com\/work\/?p=12215"},"modified":"2017-05-03T06:56:00","modified_gmt":"2017-05-03T06:56:00","slug":"heres-why-facebook-investors-are-nervous-despite-blockbuster-results","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mathewingram.com\/work\/2017\/05\/03\/heres-why-facebook-investors-are-nervous-despite-blockbuster-results\/","title":{"rendered":"Here&#8217;s Why Facebook Investors Are Nervous, Despite Blockbuster Results"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The gigantic advertising machine known as Facebook continued to fire on all cylinders in the most recent quarter, beating analysts&#8217; revenue and profit estimates handily.<\/p>\n<p>So then why did the company&#8217;s share price [fortune-stock symbol=&#8221;FB&#8221;] weaken by 2% in after-hours trading Wednesday, despite this dramatic over-performance? In a nutshell, investors are likely nervous about the future, after Facebook warned that its advertising revenue growth rate is likely to slow later this year, and its costs are likely to rise.<\/p>\n<p>The social-networking giant&#8217;s stock has also climbed by more than 15% in just the past three months, driven in part by strong results, so some of the weakness could be profit-taking.<\/p>\n<p>There was certainly nothing to complain about in Facebook&#8217;s posted numbers. Revenue in the first quarter climbed by 49% to $8 billion, which was higher than expected, and net income was $3 billion or $1.04 per share, significantly higher than consensus estimates of 87 cents.<\/p>\n<p>The company also announced that it now has close to 2 billion monthly active users &#8212; 1.94 billion, to be exact &#8212; up from 1.86 billion in the prior quarter. It has 1.28 billion daily users.<\/p>\n<p>A company that has annual revenues of almost $30 billion but is still growing at almost 50% per quarter is almost unheard of. But it also raises the possibility that this phenomenal growth will begin to slow down, and that&#8217;s likely what investors are spooked about.<\/p>\n<p>Facebook said in its last quarterly update that it expects to see its advertising growth rate &#8220;come down meaningfully&#8221; in 2017, as it starts to throttle the amount of advertising in the news feed.<\/p>\n<p>Over the past few years, the social network has been able to boost its revenues by increasing what it calls the &#8220;ad load,&#8221; or the proportion of ads in a user&#8217;s feed. But the company said it is reaching the upper limits of what it can put in the feed without seeing a backlash.<\/p>\n<p>Growth looked to be humming along just fine in the most recent quarter: Ad revenue climbed by 51%, which is roughly equivalent to the growth that Facebook saw in the previous quarter.<\/p>\n<p>However, company officials repeated their earlier warning, saying they expect ad revenue to &#8220;come down meaningfully&#8221; by the middle of the year, along with the ad load. In addition, Facebook also said that its costs are likely to increase by more than 50% in the next quarter, as it makes a number of investments in what it called &#8220;significant initiatives.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Among those initiatives is a major investment in hiring moderators to police the site&#8217;s live videos and other content for offensive or disturbing material, after a number of high-profile incidents in which people have committed suicide and engaged in other acts of violence.<\/p>\n<p>Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg announced Wednesday that the company is hiring 3,000 moderators who will review content, to add to the 4,500 or so it has doing that job currently.<\/p>\n<p>Here are the key numbers from Facebook\u2019s Q1:<\/p>\n<p>Revenue: $8.03 billion vs. $7.83 billion expected.<br \/>\nMonthly active users: 1.94 billion, up from 1.86 billion last quarter.<br \/>\nDaily active users: 1.28 billion, up from 1.23 billion last quarter.<\/p>\n<p>Facebook earnings: $1.04 per share vs 87 cents expected<\/p>\n<p>Daily active users (DAUs) \u2013 DAUs were 1.28 billion on average for March 2017 , an increase of 18% year-over-year. \u2022 Monthly active users (MAUs) \u2013 MAUs were 1.94 billion as of March 31, 2017 , an increase of 17% year-over-year. \u2022 Mobile advertising revenue \u2013 Mobile advertising revenue represented approximately 85% of advertising revenue for the first quarter<br \/>\nof 2017 , up from approximately 82% of advertising revenue in the first quarter of 2016<\/p>\n<p>1.3B a day, Mark says &#8212; talked about next focus is building community, lot to do, bigger than any one org, develop social infrastructure for engagement&#8230; millions of smaller communities&#8230; more than 100 million people members of important groups like parenting, meaningful groups &#8212; want more than a billion people to join these kinds of groups&#8230; launched fund-raising tools&#8230; continue building new tools to keep people safe, adding 3,000 people to add to 4,500 we have already, to review content&#8230; changes to the news feed to reduce financial motivation to spread hoaxes, more info on whether article is disputed, ways to tell whether something is fake news&#8230; launched Town Hall in March, created more than a million new connections with local representatives&#8230; swipe right to access the camera, computer vision tools for filters etc., make camera the first augmented reality device&#8230; excited to keep pushing augmented reality forward; 200M daily active Instagram Stories users, 175M daily users of WhatsApp &#8220;status&#8221; (like stories) will keep putting videos at the center of all these services (news feed, WhatsApp and Instagram); daily watch time has increased by four times&#8230; 1.2B people use Messenger every month;<\/p>\n<p>Ad rate will come down meaningfully, ad load will come down mid-year, full year 2017 payments revenue will decline compared to 2016; GAAP expenses will grow 40% to 50%, initiatives that will be positive long-term for society and the company, expenditures will be up over 50%.<\/p>\n<p>Looking to invest in &#8220;kickstarting an ecosystem for longer-form video&#8221;&#8230; revenue-share model&#8230;<\/p>\n<div class=\"syndication-links\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The gigantic advertising machine known as Facebook continued to fire on all cylinders in the most recent quarter, beating analysts&#8217; revenue and profit estimates handily. So then why did the company&#8217;s share price [fortune-stock symbol=&#8221;FB&#8221;] weaken by 2% in after-hours trading Wednesday, despite this dramatic over-performance? In a nutshell, investors are likely nervous about the &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/mathewingram.com\/work\/2017\/05\/03\/heres-why-facebook-investors-are-nervous-despite-blockbuster-results\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Here&#8217;s Why Facebook Investors Are Nervous, Despite Blockbuster Results&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crsspst_to_mathewingramblogwordpresscom":false,"mf2_syndication":[],"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12215","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mathewingram.com\/work\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12215","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mathewingram.com\/work\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mathewingram.com\/work\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mathewingram.com\/work\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mathewingram.com\/work\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12215"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mathewingram.com\/work\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12215\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mathewingram.com\/work\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12215"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mathewingram.com\/work\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12215"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mathewingram.com\/work\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12215"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}